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            Probability & Statistics

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            Statistical: Ten Easy Ways to Avoid Being Misled By Numbers

            Statistical: Ten Easy Ways to Avoid Being Misled By Numbers (Hardback)

            By Reuben, Anthony

            • RRP: $37.99
            • $29.63
            • Save $8.36
            • In Stock At Publisher

            An accessible guide to interrogating the many statistics we are bombarded by every day.

            ISBN 9781472130266
            Released NZ 2 May 2019
            Publisher Little, Brown Book Group
            Interest Age 16+ years
            Availability
            In stock at publisher; ships 6-12 working days
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            The Art of Statistics: Learning from Data

            The Art of Statistics: Learning from Data (Trade Paperback / Paperback)

            By Spiegelhalter, David

            • RRP: $28.00
            • $21.00
            • Save $7.00
            • In Stock At Publisher

            Every day in the news, we are confronted with a mind-bending range of statistics about the economy, health, unemployment and more, and this information overload has only increased in the wake of the big data revolution. But data does not speak for itself. A basic grasp of statist...ical literacy is more important than ever in order to think critically about the world. In Statistics: The Art of Learning from Data, David Spiegelhalter responds to the growing interest in data science by guiding the reader through the basic statistical principles we need in order not be misled by the numbers. He introduces the fundamental topics in modern statistics - such as data visualization, bias, variability, data-analytics, probability models, discovery, Bayesian inference, and reproducibility - without unnecessary technical detail or equations. Drawing on a range of intriguing contemporary examples and studies, Spiegelhalter uses real world issues to highlight the best (and worst) ways to approach statistical problems. Smart, accessible and packed with the essentials for students and statisticsbewildered readers alike, this book will give you the basic principles for how to derive knowledge from data.
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            ISBN 9780241258767
            Released NZ 18 Feb 2020
            Publisher Penguin
            Interest Age 16+ years
            Series Pelican books
            Availability
            In stock at publisher; ships 6-12 working days
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            The Art of Statistics: Learning from Data

            The Art of Statistics: Learning from Data (Hardback)

            By Spiegelhalter, David

            • RRP: $48.00
            • $36.00
            • Save $12.00
            • In Stock At Publisher

            Statistics has played a leading role in our scientific understanding of the world for centuries, yet we are all familiar with the way statistical claims can be sensationalised, particularly in the media. In the age of big data, as data science becomes established as a discipline,... a basic grasp of statistical literacy is more important than ever. In How to Tell the Truth with Statistics, David Spiegelhalter guides the reader through the essential principles we need in order to derive knowledge from data. Drawing on real world problems to introduce conceptual issues, he shows us how statistics can help us determine the luckiest passenger on the Titanic, whether serial killer Harold Shipman could have been caught earlier, and if screening for ovarian cancer is beneficial. How many trees are there on the planet? Do busier hospitals have higher survival rates? Why do old men have big ears? Spiegelhalter reveals the answers to these and many other questions - questions that can only be addressed using statistical science.
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            ISBN 9780241398630
            Released NZ 2 Apr 2019
            Publisher Penguin
            Interest Age 16+ years
            Series Pelican books
            Availability
            In stock at publisher; ships 6-12 working days
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            How Charts Lie: Getting Smarter about Visual Information

            How Charts Lie: Getting Smarter about Visual Information (Hardback)

            By Cairo, Alberto

            • RRP: $46.99
            • $46.99
            • In Stock At Publisher

            A leading data visualization expert explores the negative--and positive--influences that charts have on our perception of truth.

            ISBN 9781324001560
            Released NZ 5 Nov 2019
            Publisher WW Norton & Co
            Interest Age General Audience
            Availability
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            The Maths Book: Big Ideas Simply Explained

            The Maths Book: Big Ideas Simply Explained (Hardback)

            By DK; Foreword by Parker, Matt

            • RRP: $48.00
            • $36.00
            • Save $12.00
            • In Stock At Publisher

            Discover more than 85 of the most important mathematical ideas, theorems, and proofs ever devised, and the great minds behind them, with this original, graphic-led book. Applying the Big Ideas series' trademark combination of authoritative, accessible text and bold graphics to ch...art the development of maths through history, the book explores and explains subjects that range from ancient mathematical ideas and inventions, such as prehistoric tally bones and Sumerian multiplication tables, through to the developments in mathematics during medieval and Renaissance Europe, to the rise of game and group theory more recently Tracing maths through the scientific revolution to its 21st-century use in computers, the internet, and AI, The Maths Book uses an innovative graphic-led approach to make the subject accessible to everyone.
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            ISBN 9780241350362
            Released NZ 3 Sep 2019
            Publisher Dorling Kindersley Publishers
            Interest Age Children / Young Adults
            Series Big Ideas
            Availability
            In stock at publisher; ships 6-12 working days
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            The Book of Why: The New Science of Cause and Effect

            The Book of Why: The New Science of Cause and Effect (Paperback)

            By Pearl, Judea; MacKenzie, Dana

            • RRP: $30.00
            • $22.50
            • Save $7.50
            • In Stock At Publisher

            'Correlation does not imply causation.' This mantra was invoked by scientists for decades in order to avoid taking positions as to whether one thing caused another, such as smoking and cancer and carbon dioxide and global warming. But today, that taboo is dead. The causal revolut...ion, sparked by world-renowned computer scientist Judea Pearl and his colleagues, has cut through a century of confusion and placed cause and effect on a firm scientific basis. Now, Pearl and science journalist Dana Mackenzie explain causal thinking to general readers for the first time, showing how it allows us to explore the world that is and the worlds that could have been. It is the essence of human and artificial intelligence. And just as Pearl's discoveries have enabled machines to think better, The Book of Why explains how we can think better.
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            ISBN 9780141982410
            Released NZ 20 Aug 2019
            Publisher Penguin
            Interest Age 16+ years
            Availability
            In stock at publisher; ships 6-12 working days
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            Do Dice Play God?: The Mathematics of Uncertainty

            Do Dice Play God?: The Mathematics of Uncertainty (Trade Paperback / Paperback)

            By Stewart, Professor Ian

            • RRP: $36.99
            • $28.85
            • Save $8.14
            • In Stock At Publisher

            Uncertainty is everywhere. It lurks in every consideration of the future - the weather, the economy, the sex of an unborn child - even quantities we think that we know such as populations or the transit of the planets contain the possibility of error. It's no wonder that, through...out that history, we have attempted to produce rigidly defined areas of uncertainty - we prefer the surprise party to the surprise asteroid. We began our quest to make certain an uncertain world by reading omens in livers, tea leaves, and the stars. However, over the centuries, driven by curiosity, competition, and a desire be better gamblers, pioneering mathematicians and scientists began to reduce wild uncertainties to tame distributions of probability and statistical inferences. But, even as unknown unknowns became known unknowns, our pessimism made us believe that some problems were unsolvable and our intuition misled us. Worse, as we realized how omnipresent and varied uncertainty is, we encountered chaos, quantum mechanics, and the limitations of our predictive power. Bestselling author Professor Ian Stewart explores the history and mathematics of uncertainty. Touching on gambling, probability, statistics, financial and weather forecasts, censuses, medical studies, chaos, quantum physics, and climate, he makes one thing clear: a reasonable probability is the only certainty.
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            ISBN 9781788162289
            Released NZ 1 Jul 2019
            Publisher Profile Books Ltd
            Interest Age 19+ years
            Availability
            In stock at publisher; ships 6-12 working days
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            Measuring Crime: Behind the Statistics

            Measuring Crime: Behind the Statistics (Hardback)

            By Lohr, Sharon L.

            • RRP: $177.00
            • $177.00
            • In Stock At Publisher

            This book looks at crime statistics from a statistical point of view, and evaluates the different sources of crime statistics with respect to completeness, e.g., missing data, measurement error, and sampling variability. The goal of the book is to promote statistical reasoning ab...out statistics.
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            ISBN 9780367192310
            Released NZ 26 Apr 2019
            Publisher Taylor & Francis Ltd
            Interest Age 19+ years
            Series ASA-CRC Series on Statistical Reasoning in Science and Society
            Availability
            In stock at publisher; ships 6-12 working days
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            Chance and Error: The Theory of Evolution

            Chance and Error: The Theory of Evolution (Hardback)

            By Hopkins, Marsh

            • RRP: $212.00
            • $212.00
            • In Stock At Publisher

            Originally published in 1923 Chance and Error examines the vagaries of chance, and how this is the result of the interference of yes and no. The book basis its examination of chance on the idea of a two-sided coin. The book stipulates that contradictories are head and tail, or ye...s and no. When the coin is flipped in the air yes normally wins half of the trials, but this includes half of the half that normally go to no. Thus, normally in one quarter of the trials there is an interference of yes and no. From this the chance of any number of heads or tails can be easily calculated, and all results that are attained by more difficult mathematics are secured. The book uses this idea to examine interference of yes and no in everyday life and argues that this causes the variations in everything that goes on around us in nature and in our daily life. This book will be of interest to philosophers of logic, as well as mathematicians.
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            ISBN 9780367266165
            Released NZ 21 May 2019
            Publisher Taylor & Francis Ltd
            Interest Age 19+ years
            Series Routledge Revivals
            Availability
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            Mixed Effects Models for Complex Data

            Mixed Effects Models for Complex Data (Trade Paperback / Paperback)

            By Wu, Lang

            • RRP: $130.00
            • $130.00
            • In Stock At Publisher

            Although standard mixed effects models are useful in a range of studies, other approaches must often be used in correlation with them when studying complex or incomplete data. Mixed Effects Models for Complex Data discusses commonly used mixed effects models and presents appropri...ate approaches to address dropouts, missing data, measurement errors, censoring, and outliers. For each class of mixed effects model, the author reviews the corresponding class of regression model for cross-sectional data. An overview of general models and methods, along with motivating examples After presenting real data examples and outlining general approaches to the analysis of longitudinal/clustered data and incomplete data, the book introduces linear mixed effects (LME) models, generalized linear mixed models (GLMMs), nonlinear mixed effects (NLME) models, and semiparametric and nonparametric mixed effects models. It also includes general approaches for the analysis of complex data with missing values, measurement errors, censoring, and outliers. Self-contained coverage of specific topics Subsequent chapters delve more deeply into missing data problems, covariate measurement errors, and censored responses in mixed effects models. Focusing on incomplete data, the book also covers survival and frailty models, joint models of survival and longitudinal data, robust methods for mixed effects models, marginal generalized estimating equation (GEE) models for longitudinal or clustered data, and Bayesian methods for mixed effects models. Background material In the appendix, the author provides background information, such as likelihood theory, the Gibbs sampler, rejection and importance sampling methods, numerical integration methods, optimization methods, bootstrap, and matrix algebra. Failure to properly address missing data, measurement errors, and other issues in statistical analyses can lead
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            ISBN 9780367384913
            Released NZ 5 Sep 2019
            Publisher Taylor & Francis Ltd
            Interest Age 19+ years
            Availability
            In stock at publisher; ships 6-12 working days
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